NFL Picks - Week 13

Week 12 was not a real good week for my picks - I was 11-5 in Week 12 picking winners (Las Vegas was 13-2-1), and I hit none of the 3 upsets I picked. I am 105-71 (59.7%) on the season.

My Chargers played well enough to beat Baltimore 32-14. I predicted Chargers 20-17 over the Ravens. The Bolts turned two turnovers into points and led at the half 22-7. The defense played better, and the passing game was excellent (no sacks, no turnovers, more completions), but the running game struggled against the Ravens defense. This week the Chargers go to Kansas City, who is 4-7 after being beaten by both Denver and Oakland in the last two weeks. They are like the Chargers - a decent defense with a suspect offense. The Chargers are favored by 5. My prediction is that it will be close game - I'll say Chargers 20-16 over the Chiefs.

Here are my week 13 picks (winners, home team denoted with an H):

Green Bay (10-1) over Dallas (10-1) (H)
San Diego (6-5) over Kansas City (H) (4-7)
St. Louis (2-9) (H) over Atlanta (3-8)
Washington (5-6) (H) over Buffalo (5-6)
Minnesota (5-6) (H) over Detroit (6-5)
Tennessee (H) (6-5) over Houston (5-6)
Jacksonville (8-3) over Indianapolis (9-2) (H)
Miami (0-11) (H) over NY Jets (2-9)
Seattle (7-4) over Philadelphia (5-6) (H)
San Francisco (3-8) over Carolina (4-7) (H)
Tampa Bay (7-4) over New Orleans (5-6) (H)
Cleveland (7-4) over Arizona (5-6) (H)
Denver (4-7) over Oakland (3-8) (H)
Chicago (5-6) (H) over NY Giants (7-4)
Pittsburgh (8-3) (H) over Cincinnati (4-7)
New England (11-0) over Baltimore (4-7) (H)

I've picked Green Bay (+7), Jacksonville (+7), Seattle (+3), San Francisco (+2.5), Tampa Bay (+3), and Chicago (+2.5) as upsets this week. I picked Miami and Cleveland in the pick-em games.

Here are my 32 team power ratings (my estimates based on won-lost record and point differential) after 12 weeks:

1. New England (11-0) .......... PR = 38
2. Green Bay (10-1) ................. PR = 31
3. Dallas (10-1) ........................ PR = 31
4. Indianapolis (9-2) ............ PR = 29
5. Jacksonville (8-3) ............. PR = 27

6. Pittsburgh (8-3) ................ PR = 26
7. Seattle (7-4) ..................... PR = 24
8. Tampa Bay (7-4) ............. PR = 24
9. Cleveland (7-4) ............... PR = 23
10. New York Giants (7-4) ..... PR = 22

11. Tennessee (6-5) ............. PR = 21
12. San Diego (6-5) .............. PR = 21
13. Philadelphia (5-6) ......... PR = 20
14. Washington (5-6) .......... PR = 20
15. Minnesota (5-6) ............ PR = 19

16. Arizona (5-6) ................. PR = 19
17. Chicago (5-6) ............... PR = 18
18. Denver (5-6) .................. PR = 18
19. New Orleans (5-6) ........ PR = 18
20. Buffalo (5-6) .................. PR = 18

21. Detroit (6-5) .................. PR = 18
22. Houston (5-6) ............... PR = 18
23. Baltimore (4-7) ............ PR = 17
24. Kansas City (4-7) ......... PR = 17
25. Carolina (4-7) .............. PR = 17

26. Cincinnati (4-7) ........... PR = 16
27. Atlanta (3-8) ................ PR = 13
28. Oakland (3-8) ............. PR = 13
29. San Francisco (3-8) .... PR = 12
30. St. Louis (2-9) ............. PR = 12

31. NY Jets (2-9) .............. PR = 11
32. Miami (0-11) .............. PR = 9